Friday, November 11, 2011

How long have I got? Warning: life tables appended

We are less likely to die than ever before, but being indigenous, single or divorced or living outside living outside a city increases the risk.

The latest life tables from the Bureau of Statistics show an Australian girl born today can expect to live until 84, and to 84.3 if she survives her relatively dangerous first year. An indigenous Australian girl can expect ten years less. A boy born today can expect 79 years; an indigenous boy eleven years less.

In the past 20 years the average annual death rate has slipped from 8.6 per one thousand Australians to 5.7

The infant death rate has slid from 8.2 per one thousand live births to 4.1.

The least likely to die men live in Melbourne and on the Gold Coast. Both can expect 80.7 years. The least likely to die women live on Queensland’s Gold and Sunshine coasts. Both can expect just over 85 years.

The first-ever such analysis by the Bureau of Statistics finds cities far safer to live in than regional areas and a lot safer than in the bush with an average annual death rate of around 6 per one thousand compared to 8 in very remote locations.

Marriage seems to be a big help with married and widowed and divorced men and women far less likely to die at any age than men and women who have never been married...

The ABS report says married people "are less likely to participate in risky behaviour and more likely to nurture each other's health through promoting good diet and physical care", although it says it can't rule out the other possibility that healthy people are more likely to marry.

Australians born outside of the country have higher life expectancy in any given year than those within it, the highest being those born in Vietnam, who average only 2.8 chances in 1000 of dying at any age.

Although the ABS tables say a typical boy born today can expect 79 years, one of the highest life expectancies in the world, Australians already at that age needn't despair. The bureau says if you have reached 79 you can expect a further nine years. If you reach 100 you can expect a further two and a half.

Published in today's SMH and Age


Extra years of life expected

Born this year

Men: 79.5 Women: 84

Age 20

Men: 60.2 Women: 64.5

Age 40

Men: 41 Women: 44.9

Age 50

Men: 31.7 Women: 35.4

Age 60

Men: 23 Women: 26.2

Age 70

Men: 15 Women: 17.6

Age 80

Men: 8.5 Women: 10.1

Age 90

Men: 4.2 Women: 4.8

Age 100

Men: 2.5 Women: 2.7

ABS life tables

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