Monday, October 24, 2011

Why the Bank is set to cut next week:



From the ANZ.


Related Posts

. Why the Bank will cut if inflation is under control Wednesday

. Field guide: What'd give us a Melbourne Cup Day rate cut

. Attention Reserve Bank: Inflation is not as bad as it looks

. Where were we? What's wrong with the CPI

4 comments:

The Lorax said...

No cut until Battellino resigns!

While Boom Boom is still on the board Australia will continue to endure higher-than-necessary interest rates.

If the ANZ are right about inflation, I wonder if Joye, Carr, Bloxham et al will admit they were wrong all along? Bloxham has softened a bit, but I can't imagine Chris Joye admitting he was wrong about anything ever.

Peter Martin said...

He has mate. Read him. I point to him in an earlier post.

The Lorax said...

Thats not an apology from Joye, that's a list of excuses:

- Floods & Earthquakes
- Euro debt crisis (which has been brewing since the GFC and was entirely predictable. See Rogoff and Reinhart)
- Revisions to the way the ABS calculates the CPI.

Joye has been carrying like Australia had a looming inflation disaster all year. There were plenty of people saying this was overblown (see MacroBusiness).

This is no apology. And if the CPI comes in at 0.7% or above I expect his demands for a rate hike will resume.

Peter Martin said...

Kohler was worse:

"The June quarter consumer price index is a disaster."

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